Thursday, February 19, 2009

Game Show Problem - Television Tropes & Idioms

Game Show Problem - Television Tropes & Idioms
This whole site is just about everything I am interested in with Arcomedia Ltd.
This page talks about the interesting probability scenario in a famous game show - also talked about at length in the book : The Curious Case Of The Dog In The Nightime.
In a nutshell, you have a 1 in 3 chance of choosing a prize in a box, after you nominate your box one of the other two boxes is shown to be empty and you are given the option to now change your choice. Question, does this apparent 2 in one choice really give you better odds if you act on it?
A number of people have 'reminded' me this is called The Monty Hall problem.

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